2026 Szerb választás
Daily analysis

2026 Szerb választás · Daily Briefs

Evidence-first summaries of campaign communication. Each brief compares one completed Serbian calendar day with the preceding seven-day baseline and highlights only configured material changes.

“Material change” is an operational alert threshold, not a claim of formal statistical significance. Every signal remains linked to the underlying observed posts.
07 November 2026insufficient data

No analyzable observations for 2026-11-07

No social-media posts were available for a reliable daily executive assessment in the completed reporting window. The Observatory therefore records the coverage gap rather than inferring a campaign trend.

0 posts0 accounts0 material signals
06 November 2026insufficient data

No analyzable observations for 2026-11-06

No social-media posts were available for a reliable daily executive assessment in the completed reporting window. The Observatory therefore records the coverage gap rather than inferring a campaign trend.

0 posts0 accounts0 material signals
05 November 2026insufficient data

No analyzable observations for 2026-11-05

No social-media posts were available for a reliable daily executive assessment in the completed reporting window. The Observatory therefore records the coverage gap rather than inferring a campaign trend.

0 posts0 accounts0 material signals
04 November 2026insufficient data

No analyzable observations for 2026-11-04

No social-media posts were available for a reliable daily executive assessment in the completed reporting window. The Observatory therefore records the coverage gap rather than inferring a campaign trend.

0 posts0 accounts5 material signals
03 November 2026insufficient data

No analyzable observations for 2026-11-03

No social-media posts were available for a reliable daily executive assessment in the completed reporting window. The Observatory therefore records the coverage gap rather than inferring a campaign trend.

0 posts0 accounts8 material signals
02 November 2026generated

Campaign activity broadly stable against the recent baseline

The Observatory captured 5 posts on 2026-11-02, 36% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (3), family/demography (1), election process/integrity (1), protests (1).

5 posts2 accounts0 material signals
01 November 2026generated

Material rise in Kreni-Promeni leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 7 posts on 2026-11-01, 14% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (4), personal/light content (1), historical memory (1).

7 posts2 accounts4 material signals
31 October 2026generated

Material decline in neutral/informational leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 4 posts on 2026-10-31, 48% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (4).

4 posts1 accounts3 material signals
30 October 2026generated

Material decline in LOW leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 3 posts on 2026-10-30, 61% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (1), media/information environment (1).

3 posts3 accounts4 material signals
29 October 2026generated

Material decline in scope:political leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 1 posts on 2026-10-29, 90% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were personal/light content (1).

1 posts1 accounts8 material signals
28 October 2026generated

Material decline in neutral/informational leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 1 posts on 2026-10-28, 91% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were no dominant coded topic.

1 posts1 accounts7 material signals
27 October 2026generated

Campaign activity broadly stable against the recent baseline

The Observatory captured 4 posts on 2026-10-27, 63% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were student movement (1), cost of living (1), other (1), personal/light content (1).

4 posts3 accounts0 material signals
26 October 2026generated

Material decline in neutral/informational leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 3 posts on 2026-10-26, 73% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were personal/light content (2), other (1).

3 posts2 accounts2 material signals
25 October 2026generated

Campaign activity broadly stable against the recent baseline

The Observatory captured 4 posts on 2026-10-25, 64% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (2), Kosovo (1), election process/integrity (1), student movement (1).

4 posts2 accounts0 material signals
24 October 2026generated

Material decline in tiktok leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 1 posts on 2026-10-24, 92% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were election process/integrity (1), student movement (1).

1 posts1 accounts8 material signals
23 October 2026generated

Material decline in SNS leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 5 posts on 2026-10-23, 64% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were student movement (2), protests (1), other (1), election process/integrity (1).

5 posts1 accounts8 material signals
22 October 2026generated

Material decline in other leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 3 posts on 2026-10-22, 76% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were student movement (2), other (1).

3 posts1 accounts8 material signals
21 October 2026generated

Material rise in LOW leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 14 posts on 2026-10-21, 21% above the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (9), personal/light content (4), election process/integrity (1).

14 posts3 accounts5 material signals
20 October 2026generated

Material decline in Kreni-Promeni leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 6 posts on 2026-10-20, 45% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (3), historical memory (1), Kosovo (1), election process/integrity (1).

6 posts2 accounts3 material signals
19 October 2026generated

Material rise in protest/student movement reference leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 12 posts on 2026-10-19, 29% above the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (5), student movement (3), election process/integrity (2), personal/light content (2).

12 posts4 accounts1 material signals
18 October 2026generated

Material rise in Kreni-Promeni leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 12 posts on 2026-10-18, 33% above the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (9), student movement (2), ceremonial/protocol (1), personal/light content (1).

12 posts2 accounts3 material signals
17 October 2026generated

Material rise in LOW leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 14 posts on 2026-10-17, 58% above the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (8), family/demography (2), ceremonial/protocol (1), personal/light content (1).

14 posts4 accounts4 material signals
16 October 2026generated

Material rise in HIGH leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 17 posts on 2026-10-16, 98% above the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (8), student movement (4), personal/light content (3), foreign policy/geopolitics (1).

17 posts5 accounts6 material signals
15 October 2026generated

Campaign activity broadly stable against the recent baseline

The Observatory captured 11 posts on 2026-10-15, 43% above the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (5), personal/light content (3), ceremonial/protocol (1), campaign slogans/messaging (1).

11 posts4 accounts0 material signals
14 October 2026generated

Campaign activity broadly stable against the recent baseline

The Observatory captured 6 posts on 2026-10-14, 24% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (2), personal/light content (2), student movement (1), environment/energy (1).

6 posts3 accounts0 material signals
13 October 2026generated

Material decline in tiktok leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 1 posts on 2026-10-13, 90% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (1).

1 posts1 accounts4 material signals
12 October 2026generated

Material decline in tiktok leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 1 posts on 2026-10-12, 92% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (1).

1 posts1 accounts8 material signals
11 October 2026generated

Campaign activity broadly stable against the recent baseline

The Observatory captured 9 posts on 2026-10-11, 25% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (5), election process/integrity (2), student movement (2), rule of law (1).

9 posts3 accounts0 material signals
10 October 2026generated

Campaign activity broadly stable against the recent baseline

The Observatory captured 12 posts on 2026-10-10, 1% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (6), personal/light content (2), student movement (2), protests (1).

12 posts4 accounts0 material signals
09 October 2026generated

Campaign activity broadly stable against the recent baseline

The Observatory captured 13 posts on 2026-10-09, 10% above the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (7), personal/light content (3), historical memory (1), ceremonial/protocol (1).

13 posts3 accounts0 material signals
08 October 2026generated

Material decline in LOW leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 6 posts on 2026-10-08, 54% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were economy (2), health (1), government performance/infrastructure (1), other (1).

6 posts5 accounts6 material signals
07 October 2026generated

Material decline in tiktok leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 5 posts on 2026-10-07, 66% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (2), personal/light content (1), protests (1), environment/energy (1).

5 posts3 accounts8 material signals
06 October 2026generated

Material decline in neutral/informational leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 8 posts on 2026-10-06, 46% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (5), personal/light content (1), election process/integrity (1), family/demography (1).

8 posts3 accounts4 material signals
05 October 2026generated

Material rise in family/demography leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 11 posts on 2026-10-05, 26% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (6), family/demography (3), education (1), economy (1).

11 posts2 accounts3 material signals
04 October 2026generated

Material decline in tiktok leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 3 posts on 2026-10-04, 79% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (2), election process/integrity (1).

3 posts1 accounts8 material signals
03 October 2026generated

Material decline in tiktok leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 4 posts on 2026-10-03, 71% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were personal/light content (1), protests (1), campaign slogans/messaging (1), other (1).

4 posts2 accounts6 material signals
02 October 2026generated

Material decline in other leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 3 posts on 2026-10-02, 76% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were ceremonial/protocol (1), other (1).

3 posts3 accounts1 material signals
01 October 2026generated

Material decline in scope:political leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 4 posts on 2026-10-01, 67% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (3), historical memory (1).

4 posts3 accounts1 material signals
30 September 2026generated

Material decline in scope:political leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 5 posts on 2026-09-30, 54% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (4), protests (1).

5 posts3 accounts1 material signals
29 September 2026generated

Material decline in neutral/informational leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 3 posts on 2026-09-29, 70% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (2), rule of law (1), protests (1), security (1).

3 posts2 accounts1 material signals
28 September 2026generated

Material decline in tiktok leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 1 posts on 2026-09-28, 88% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were ceremonial/protocol (1).

1 posts1 accounts4 material signals
27 September 2026generated

Material decline in tiktok leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 3 posts on 2026-09-27, 68% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (2), election process/integrity (1).

3 posts3 accounts3 material signals
26 September 2026generated

Material rise in HIGH leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 8 posts on 2026-09-26, 10% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (4), student movement (2), Kosovo (1), personal/light content (1).

8 posts4 accounts1 material signals
25 September 2026generated

Material rise in Kreni-Promeni leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 7 posts on 2026-09-25, 17% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were foreign policy/geopolitics (2), election process/integrity (2), economy (1), government performance/infrastructure (1).

7 posts4 accounts2 material signals
24 September 2026generated

Material rise in environment/energy leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 13 posts on 2026-09-24, 57% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were foreign policy/geopolitics (7), Kosovo (6), economy (5), EU integration (4).

13 posts4 accounts8 material signals
23 September 2026generated

Campaign activity broadly stable against the recent baseline

The Observatory captured 9 posts on 2026-09-23, 89% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (3), election process/integrity (2), protests (1), national identity (1).

9 posts6 accounts0 material signals
22 September 2026generated

Material rise in instagram leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 15 posts on 2026-09-22, 90% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were foreign policy/geopolitics (5), ceremonial/protocol (5), other (3), government performance/infrastructure (3).

15 posts4 accounts2 material signals
21 September 2026generated

Campaign activity broadly stable against the recent baseline

The Observatory captured 5 posts on 2026-09-21, 98% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were student movement (3), other (2), election process/integrity (1).

5 posts3 accounts0 material signals
20 September 2026generated

Material decline in ceremonial/protocol leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 8 posts on 2026-09-20, 97% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (3), family/demography (1), student movement (1), election process/integrity (1).

8 posts4 accounts3 material signals
19 September 2026generated

Material decline in Kreni-Promeni leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 5 posts on 2026-09-19, 98% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (3), election process/integrity (1), student movement (1), ceremonial/protocol (1).

5 posts3 accounts4 material signals
18 September 2026generated

Material rise in instagram leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 4 posts on 2026-09-18, 98% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were foreign policy/geopolitics (4), government performance/infrastructure (4), economy (3), ceremonial/protocol (2).

4 posts1 accounts8 material signals
17 September 2026generated

Material rise in media/information environment leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 165 posts on 2026-09-17, 29% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were election process/integrity (40), student movement (26), other (20), EU integration (18).

165 posts27 accounts3 material signals
16 September 2026generated

Material rise in Đorđe Vukadinović leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 371 posts on 2026-09-16, 110% above the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (138), rule of law (70), Kosovo (41), student movement (36).

371 posts38 accounts8 material signals
15 September 2026generated

Material rise in security leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 511 posts on 2026-09-15, 391% above the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (241), student movement (86), election process/integrity (60), protests (49).

511 posts43 accounts8 material signals
14 September 2026generated

Material rise in education leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 404 posts on 2026-09-14, 767% above the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (182), student movement (74), election process/integrity (48), protests (26).

404 posts34 accounts8 material signals
13 September 2026generated

Material rise in other leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 294 posts on 2026-09-13, 8475% above the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (199), student movement (41), rule of law (15), protests (14).

294 posts34 accounts8 material signals
12 September 2026generated

Material rise in x leads the daily campaign picture

The Observatory captured 20 posts on 2026-09-12, 3400% above the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were student movement (11), other (9), Kosovo (2).

20 posts2 accounts8 material signals
11 September 2026insufficient data

No analyzable observations for 2026-09-11

No social-media posts were available for a reliable daily executive assessment in the completed reporting window. The Observatory therefore records the coverage gap rather than inferring a campaign trend.

0 posts0 accounts0 material signals