2026 Szerb választás · Daily Brief · 25 September 2026
Material rise in Kreni-Promeni leads the daily campaign picture
Generated 2026-09-26 06:15 UTC · 7 posts · 4 accounts · instagram, tiktok
Baseline: 2026-09-17 to 2026-09-24 UTC. Narrative generator: deterministic-evidence-v1. Not yet human verified.
Legacy panels reconstructed from currently available observations and coding. Reporting-day posts are restricted to this brief’s saved source IDs; the baseline and current account eligibility may differ from the original generation. The published summary has not been rewritten.
Executive summary
The Observatory captured 7 posts on 2026-09-25, 17% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were foreign policy/geopolitics (2), election process/integrity (2), economy (1), government performance/infrastructure (1).
The clearest material day-on-day signals were: Kreni-Promeni (party) rose 155%: 4 posts versus a 1.6 daily baseline. Supports Studentska lista – Studenti pobeđuju (electoral list) rose 155%: 4 posts versus a 1.6 daily baseline.
The highest raw engagement among observed posts came from Kreni-Promeni (4399), Kreni-Promeni (1190), Kreni-Promeni (749). Raw engagement is not compared directly across platforms.
What to watch
- Watch whether the upward movement in Kreni-Promeni persists for a second day.
- Watch whether the upward movement in Supports Studentska lista – Studenti pobeđuju persists for a second day.
Campaign dynamics
- Observed posting volume was 40% below the preceding 7-day daily average.
- The busiest six-hour period was 12:00–18:00 local time with 4 observed posts.
- The most active monitored actors were Kreni-Promeni (3), Miloš Vučević (2), Aleksandar Vučić (1).
| Actor | Posts | 7-day avg | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kreni-Promeni | 3 | 1.4 | +110% |
| Miloš Vučević | 2 | 1.4 | +40% |
| Aleksandar Vučić | 1 | 8.0 | -88% |
| Savo Manojlović | 1 | 0.1 | +600% |
Network and narrative propagation
- The reporting-day network contains 3 monitored accounts, 16 observed mention/hashtag/link objects and 21 weighted relationships.
- The most widely shared observed objects were #fyp (3 accounts), #tiktoksrbija (2 accounts), #srbija (2 accounts).
- The broadest active narrative episodes were election process/integrity (5 accounts), foreign policy/geopolitics (3 accounts), event (3 accounts).
| Narrative | Accounts | Posts | New adoptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| election process/integrity Earliest observed: ETF Blokada | 5 | 10 | 1 |
| foreign policy/geopolitics Earliest observed: Aleksandar Vučić | 3 | 35 | 1 |
| event Earliest observed: Aleksandar Vučić | 3 | 20 | 1 |
| ceremonial/protocol Earliest observed: Aleksandar Vučić | 4 | 17 | 0 |
| government performance/infrastructure Earliest observed: Aleksandar Vučić | 2 | 23 | 0 |
| economy Earliest observed: Aleksandar Vučić | 2 | 20 | 0 |
| environment/energy Earliest observed: Aleksandar Vučić | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| protests Earliest observed: Miloš Vučević | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Observed co-occurrence and chronological succession are not proof of coordination, origin, transmission or causation.
Strongest observed network relationships
| Source actor | Observed object | Relationship | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kreni-Promeni | #fyp | hashtag | 3 |
| Kreni-Promeni | #tiktoksrbija | hashtag | 3 |
| Miloš Vučević | #4you | hashtag | 2 |
| Miloš Vučević | #fyp | hashtag | 2 |
| Miloš Vučević | #srbija | hashtag | 2 |
| Miloš Vučević | #viral | hashtag | 2 |
| Kreni-Promeni | #vucic | hashtag | 2 |
| Kreni-Promeni | #beograd | hashtag | 1 |
| Kreni-Promeni | #evropa | hashtag | 1 |
| Kreni-Promeni | #izbori | hashtag | 1 |
Material changes
Evidence from the reporting day
| Time | Actor | Platform | Observed post | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:11 | Savo Manojlović | tiktok | Čiju decu Dodik i Vučić teraju iz Republike Srpske? #fyp #tiktoksrbija #vucic #dodik #republikasrpska | Original ↗ |
| 13:50 | Miloš Vučević | tiktok | Штанд секиром могу да сломе, али идеологију не могу и никада неће моћи. Победиће уједињена Србија!🇷🇸#fyp #4you #srbija #viral | Original ↗ |
| 13:08 | Kreni-Promeni | tiktok | Eksluzivno: Kako SNS kupuje glasove Na audio snimku se čuje kako Edvin Tot iz Gospođinaca za SNS kupuje glasove. Za krivična dela kupovine glasova tužilaštvo bi moralo samo da pokrene postupak protiv svih u lancu odgovornih. Oni koje neće građani, moraju da kupuju podršku, kako bi pokušali da spreče izvestan gubitak izbora. #fyp #tiktoksrbija #sns #korupcija #izbori | Original ↗ |
| 10:44 | Kreni-Promeni | tiktok | Nije se šalio. #fyp #tiktoksrbija #vucic #leteciautomobili #beograd #vozdovac | Original ↗ |
| 10:23 | Miloš Vučević | tiktok | Оштро осуђујем језиво блокадерско насиље и позивам све актере политичког живота да апелују на смањење тензија у друштву. #fyp #4you #srbija #viral | Original ↗ |
| 08:42 | Kreni-Promeni | tiktok | Otpad koji Evropa ne želi mogao bi da završi na spaljivanju u Srbiji, a izgleda da je to predsednik već najavio. Još 2025. upozoravali smo da izmene zakona otvaraju vrata uvozu otpada radi spaljivanja. Nova uredba dodatno je otvorila prostor za zloupotrebe, bez jasnih kriterijuma za teške metale i druge opasne supstance. Dok region potresaju afere sa lažno deklarisanim i toksičnim otpadom, postavlja se pitanje: ko kontroliše šta ulazi u Srbiju i šta će se spaljivati u Prahovu? #fyp #tiktoksrbija #otpad #evropa #srbija #vucic | Original ↗ |
| 22:44 | Aleksandar Vučić | Odličan razgovor sa potpredsednikom Narodne Republike Kine Han Džengom o daljem jačanju čeličnog prijateljstva i sveobuhvatnog strateškog partnerstva Srbije i Kine. Posebnu pažnju posvetili smo daljem razvoju ekonomske i investicione saradnje, infrastrukturi i energetici, kao i novim mogućnostima za povezivanje u oblastima inovacija, visokih tehnologija, veštačke inteligencije i robotike. Nakon istorijske državne posete Kini, kojom smo otvorili novu fazu naših odnosa, nastavljamo da radimo na realizaciji postignutih dogovora i konkretnih projekata u brojnim oblastima. Posebno sam naglasio zahvalnost predsedniku Si Đinpingu, velikom i iskrenom prijatelju Srbije i srpskog naroda, na ličnom doprinosu jačanju odnosa naših zemalja. Uvereni da ćemo u godinama pred nama ostvariti još značajnije rezultate u korist naših država i naroda. Predsednik Republike Srbije Aleksandar Vučić sastao se sa potpredsednikom Narodne Republike Kine Han Džengom, tokom 81. zasedanja Generalne skupštine Ujedinjenih nacija. | Original ↗ |