2026 Szerb választás
2026 Szerb választás · Daily Brief · 01 November 2026

Material rise in Kreni-Promeni leads the daily campaign picture

Generated 2026-11-02 06:16 UTC · 7 posts · 2 accounts · tiktok

Baseline: 2026-10-24 to 2026-10-31 UTC. Narrative generator: deterministic-evidence-v1. Not yet human verified.
Executive summary
The Observatory captured 7 posts on 2026-11-01, 14% below the preceding 7-day daily average. The most frequent coded topics were other (4), personal/light content (1), historical memory (1). The clearest material day-on-day signals were: Kreni-Promeni (actor) rose 163%: 6 posts versus a 2.3 daily baseline. SNS (party) fell 100%: 0 posts versus a 4.6 daily baseline. Aleksandar Vučić – Ujedinjena Srbija (electoral list) fell 100%: 0 posts versus a 4.3 daily baseline. The highest raw engagement among observed posts came from ETF Blokada (11617), Kreni-Promeni (2217), Kreni-Promeni (1907). Raw engagement is not compared directly across platforms.
What to watch
  • Watch whether the upward movement in Kreni-Promeni persists for a second day.
  • Watch whether the downward movement in SNS persists for a second day.
  • Watch whether the downward movement in Aleksandar Vučić – Ujedinjena Srbija persists for a second day.
Campaign dynamics
  • Observed posting volume was 14% below the preceding 7-day daily average.
  • The busiest six-hour period was 12:00–18:00 local time with 5 observed posts.
  • The most active monitored actors were Kreni-Promeni (6), ETF Blokada (1).
ActorPosts7-day avgChange
Kreni-Promeni62.3+162%
ETF Blokada10.9+17%
Network and narrative propagation
  • The reporting-day network contains 0 monitored accounts, 0 observed mention/hashtag/link objects and 0 weighted relationships.
  • No mention, hashtag or eligible external URL connected two monitored accounts during the reporting day.
  • The broadest active narrative episodes were historical memory (2 accounts), personal/light content (3 accounts), mobilisation (2 accounts).
NarrativeAccountsPostsNew adoptions
historical memory
Earliest observed: Aleksandar Vučić
221
personal/light content
Earliest observed: ETF Blokada
3100
mobilisation
Earliest observed: Kreni-Promeni
230

Observed co-occurrence and chronological succession are not proof of coordination, origin, transmission or causation.

Strongest observed network relationships
Source actorObserved objectRelationshipCount
No qualifying reporting-day network relationships.
Material changes
DimensionSignalToday7-day daily avgChangez-likeEvidence
actorKreni-Promeni ↑ up62.3+163%+1.62#2335#2336#2337#2338
partySNS ↓ down04.6-100%-1.73#2329#2330#2331#2332
electoral listAleksandar Vučić – Ujedinjena Srbija ↓ down04.3-100%-1.59#2329#2330#2331#2332
actorAleksandar Vučić ↓ down04.3-100%-1.59#2329#2330#2331#2332
Evidence from the reporting day
TimeActorPlatformObserved postSource
13:34Kreni-PromenitiktokSećanje na stradaleOriginal ↗
13:29Kreni-PromenitiktokSara Firić (2018) Valentina Firić (2014) Đorđe Firić (1971) Milica Adamović (2008) Nemanja Komar (2007) Anđela Ruman (2004) Miloš Milosavljević (2003) Stefan Hrka (1997) Sanja Ćirić Arbutina (1989) Vasko Sazdovski (1979) Goranka Raca (1966) Vukašin Raković (1955) Mileva Karanović (1948) Đuro Švonja (1947) Anja Radonjić (2000) Vukašin Crnčević (2006) 2 godine od pada nadstrešnice. Slava im!🕊️Original ↗
11:55Kreni-PromenitiktokPre tačno dve godine, nadstrešnica je odnela živote nevinih ljudi. Dve godine tuge, bola i pitanja na koja još uvek čekamo odgovore. Danas hodamo u znak sećanja na stradale. Da njihova imena ne zaboravimo, da istina ne bude zaboravljena i da odgovornost ne izostane. Sećamo se. Pamtimo. Ne odustajemo. Nikada više!Original ↗
11:53Kreni-PromenitiktokDve godine kasnije, na istom mestu. 🕊️ Novi Sad pamti, Srbija pamti! 1.11.2026.Original ↗
11:36ETF Blokadatiktok1.11. Nikada nećemo zaboraviti.Original ↗
10:16Kreni-PromenitiktokSrbija pamti!🕊️Original ↗
09:00Kreni-PromenitiktokPredstavnici Pokreta Kreni-Promeni zapalili sveće i položili cveće ispred Železničke stanice na mestu tragedije u Novom Sadu. Srbija pamti 🇷🇸Original ↗