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Public methodology

Account selection & observation

Defined monitoring universe

Monitoring begins with a defined universe of accounts rather than an uncontrolled keyword sample. Accounts are selected according to electoral relevance, institutional role, party representation, audience size and observable social-media activity.

All contesting parties with relevant social accounts are included after their electoral status is verified. Political leaders are included. For parties with at least approximately 1% support in credible recent polling, additional leading candidates are selected by candidate-list position, followership, posting frequency and political relevance. Larger electoral forces receive broader candidate coverage.

Platform selection

  1. availability on the platform
  2. followers/subscribers
  3. activity level
  4. political relevance
  5. comparability of available metrics

The same actor may be monitored on more than one platform.

Influencers

Influencers are never auto-enrolled. Inclusion requires a written justification based on political audience, election-related activity, amplification behaviour, engagement and/or recurring network prominence.

Engagement

Each post is compared with the average engagement of posts from the same account and platform during the preceding three days.

LOW: more than 10% below baseline.
MEDIUM: within ±10%.
HIGH: more than 10% above baseline.

The baseline window, tolerance, minimum observations and follower normalisation are configurable.

Coding provenance

Machine-generated coding and human-verified coding are stored separately. Human correction does not erase the earlier machine result.